社会隔离对老年流动人口居留意愿的影响

Study on the Influence of Social Isolation on the Residence Intention of the Elderly Floating Population

  • 摘要: 基于2017年全国流动人口动态监测调查数据,分析了社会隔离对老年流动人口居留意愿的影响。首先, 应用二元Logistics回归得出社会隔离对老年流动人口居留意愿具有负向影响, 控制变量中年龄、文化程度、户籍性质、工作、自购房、流动范围及流动时间等变量也会影响老年流动人口的居留意愿。其次, 选用倾向得分匹配方法进行稳健性检验, 进一步证明社会隔离对老年流动人口居留意愿的负向影响是稳定存在的。最后, 探讨了城市归属感这一中介变量在社会隔离和居留意愿之间的影响机制。为提高老年流动人口居留意愿提出以下建议: 拓展老年流动人口的社会网络, 减少社会隔离的发生; 关注老年流动人口户籍和住房需求, 提供平等机会与保障; 提升老年流动人口的城市归属感, 实现主观的身份认同。

     

    Abstract: Based on the dynamic monitoring survey data of the national floating population in 2017, the impact of social isolation on the residence intention of the elderly floating population was analyzed. First of all, the application of binary Logistic regression showed that social isolation has a negative impact on the residence intention of the elderly floating population, and the control variables such as age, education level, registered residence nature, job, self-purchased house, mobility scope and mobility time also affected the residence intention of the elderly floating population. Secondly, the propensity score matching method was used for robustness test, which further proved that the negative impact of social isolation on the residence intention of the elderly floating population was stable. Finally, the paper discussed the influence mechanism of the intermediary variable of the sense of urban belonging between social isolation and residence intention. In order to improve the residence intention of the elderly floating population, the following suggestions were put forward: expanding the social network of the elderly floating population so as to reduce the occurrence of social isolation, paying attention to the registered residence and housing needs of the elderly floating population to provide equal opportunities and security, along with improving the sense of urban belonging of the elderly floating population for achieving subjective identity.

     

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